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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Nov 06, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights

Nov 06, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob 55.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 29
Biggest swing 31.1 pp
Home time led 38.7%
Away time led 61.3%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
197107:25goal1-058.5%
360115:53goal2-080.9%
466200:00period-start2-084.8%
469200:36goal2-169.7%
563203:28goal2-235.3%
763300:00period-start2-255.9%
793302:47goal2-317.9%
807303:37goal3-335.7%
815304:12goal3-412.7%
993314:13goal3-52.7%
1052319:13goal3-60.8%
507320:00game-end3-60.6%