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2025-26 Season Live

Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Nov 09, 2025)

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Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 09, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 47.1%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 66
Biggest swing 66.4 pp
Home time led 32.6%
Away time led 67.4%
The Flood (3-straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
533119:01goal3-244.2%
440115:31goal2-232.0%
421114:31goal1-213.6%
233108:34goal1-156.6%
175105:00goal1-070.2%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
774216:51goal4-340.2%
695211:03goal4-215.4%
495320:00game-end4-57.7%
549200:00period-start3-271.0%
1012312:13goal4-53.0%
258303:20goal4-441.5%
812300:00period-start4-369.3%