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New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Nov 12, 2025)

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New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 12, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 57.7%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 4
Biggest swing 46.2 pp
Home time led 2.2%
Away time led 97.8%
The Flood (3-straight)NYR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
498117:32goal3-439.2%
485116:20goal2-421.9%
453113:59goal2-334.9%
358107:08goal1-324.4%
288106:04goal1-236.3%
302103:31goal0-224.4%
301101:09goal0-137.6%
105100:00period-start0-055.8%
915218:19goal3-59.6%
524320:00game-end3-70.4%
593200:00period-start3-439.1%
1176317:49goal3-70.8%
1008305:03goal3-61.2%
945300:00period-start3-59.9%