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2025-26 Season Live

Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Nov 16, 2025)

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Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 16, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 48.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 48
Biggest swing 70.7 pp
Home time led 50.1%
Away time led 49.9%
The Flood (6+ straight)VAN
The Grip (entering P3)TBL — xG +1.9

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
403119:25goal1-032.2%
52100:00period-start0-055.4%
586209:26goal2-175.1%
522204:35goal2-048.2%
424200:00period-start1-070.9%
471320:00game-end2-60.2%
1002316:57goal2-61.1%
1001313:52goal2-50.8%
781305:51goal2-46.2%
773304:54goal2-331.1%
765304:11goal2-264.0%
717300:00period-start2-182.4%