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2025-26 Season Live

Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Nov 16, 2025)

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Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 16, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 48.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 30
Biggest swing 70.8 pp
Home time led 55.7%
Away time led 44.3%
The Flood (6+ straight)VAN
The Grip (entering P3)TBL — xG +1.9

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
403119:25goal1-041.4%
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
586209:26goal2-182.4%
522204:35goal2-079.6%
424200:00period-start1-071.0%
471320:00game-end2-60.2%
1002316:57goal2-60.9%
1001313:52goal2-50.8%
781305:51goal2-47.2%
773304:54goal2-332.9%
765304:11goal2-267.3%
717300:00period-start2-185.3%