Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Nov 22, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob
54.7%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
0
Biggest swing
43.2 pp
Home time led
100.0%
Away time led
0.0%
The Flood (4+ straight)MTL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363 | 1 | 13:33 | goal | 2-0 | 85.7% |
| 289 | 1 | 12:11 | goal | 1-0 | 64.8% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 54.4% |
| 711 | 2 | 17:19 | goal | 4-1 | 96.8% |
| 651 | 2 | 13:11 | goal | 4-0 | 98.5% |
| 505 | 2 | 04:09 | goal | 3-0 | 95.3% |
| 453 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-0 | 86.8% |
| 903 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 5-2 | 99.0% |
| 1046 | 3 | 17:50 | goal | 5-2 | 98.8% |
| 1010 | 3 | 14:55 | goal | 4-2 | 97.9% |
| 748 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-1 | 97.3% |