Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Nov 22, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals pregame win prob
54.2%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
2
Biggest swing
45.8 pp
Home time led
8.8%
Away time led
91.2%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 393 | 1 | 18:19 | goal | 1-4 | 15.8% |
| 261 | 1 | 11:36 | goal | 1-3 | 21.5% |
| 127 | 1 | 05:21 | goal | 1-2 | 47.2% |
| 97 | 1 | 02:53 | goal | 1-1 | 62.7% |
| 67 | 1 | 01:06 | goal | 1-0 | 71.2% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.8% |
| 500 | 2 | 05:26 | goal | 2-4 | 17.6% |
| 431 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-4 | 8.8% |
| 529 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 3-5 | 2.9% |
| 1005 | 3 | 15:51 | goal | 3-5 | 5.7% |
| 859 | 3 | 05:24 | goal | 3-4 | 30.3% |
| 791 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-4 | 9.9% |