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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Nov 28, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings

Nov 28, 2025
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob 52.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 9
Biggest swing 60.7 pp
Home time led 34.9%
Away time led 65.1%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
384117:07goal1-162.1%
305111:29goal1-069.6%
54100:00period-start0-055.4%
769218:26goal3-423.1%
743216:09goal2-49.4%
207203:13goal2-333.3%
153203:01goal1-333.4%
483200:34goal1-250.2%
482200:00period-start1-161.4%
519320:00game-end3-60.7%
1014317:13goal3-61.0%
958312:37goal3-54.9%
795300:00period-start3-430.2%