Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Nov 28, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals pregame win prob
53.1%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
18
Biggest swing
38.0 pp
Home time led
21.4%
Away time led
78.6%
The Flood (3-straight)WSH
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.4% |
| 93 | 1 | 03:07 | goal | 0-1 | 47.6% |
| 454 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-1 | 43.0% |
| 489 | 2 | 02:49 | goal | 0-2 | 19.7% |
| 155 | 2 | 13:18 | goal | 1-2 | 34.5% |
| 833 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-2 | 32.4% |
| 1022 | 3 | 13:16 | goal | 2-2 | 54.8% |
| 1057 | 3 | 16:04 | goal | 3-2 | 87.5% |
| 1107 | 3 | 19:58 | goal | 4-2 | 98.2% |
| 566 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 4-2 | 98.3% |