Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Nov 29, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob
56.0%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
3
Biggest swing
16.6 pp
Home time led
15.8%
Away time led
84.2%
The Flood (4+ straight)TOR
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 56.6% |
| 204 | 1 | 06:46 | goal | 0-1 | 41.5% |
| 352 | 1 | 08:14 | goal | 1-1 | 54.9% |
| 401 | 1 | 11:06 | goal | 1-2 | 41.5% |
| 259 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-2 | 39.5% |
| 402 | 2 | 02:24 | goal | 1-3 | 21.3% |
| 601 | 2 | 04:53 | goal | 1-4 | 3.9% |
| 764 | 2 | 13:58 | goal | 1-5 | 2.1% |
| 83 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-5 | 1.4% |
| 956 | 3 | 04:37 | goal | 2-5 | 1.6% |
| 993 | 3 | 07:14 | goal | 2-6 | 1.2% |
| 1093 | 3 | 13:16 | goal | 2-7 | 0.9% |
| 96 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 2-7 | 0.5% |