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2025-26 Season Live

San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Nov 29, 2025)

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San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights

Nov 29, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob 58.7%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 12
Biggest swing 30.0 pp
Home time led 98.8%
Away time led 1.2%
The Flood (2-straight)VGK
The Grip (entering P3)VGK — xG +1.5

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
404116:13goal1-169.6%
201107:34goal0-159.0%
54100:00period-start0-055.4%
801219:35goal4-385.4%
743214:40goal4-290.7%
713212:38goal4-196.2%
105207:02goal3-188.4%
104205:36goal2-176.4%
471200:00period-start1-169.7%
521320:00game-end4-394.5%
811300:00period-start4-386.0%