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2025-26 Season Live

Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Dec 06, 2025)

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Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 06, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 59.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 50
Biggest swing 36.9 pp
Home time led 19.3%
Away time led 80.7%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
9100:00period-start0-059.5%
354208:25goal0-136.6%
563200:00period-start0-055.7%
976310:28goal1-124.6%
840300:00period-start0-124.9%
1112400:00period-start1-129.2%
206500:00goal1-162.8%
359500:00goal1-166.1%
360500:00goal1-166.1%
436500:00period-start1-166.1%
442500:00game-end1-166.1%