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2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Dec 06, 2025)

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New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 06, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 56.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 61.0 pp
Home time led 87.9%
Away time led 12.1%
The Flood (2-straight)NYI

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.4%
366200:00period-start0-064.1%
418320:00game-end0-23.2%
918319:58goal0-22.9%
832312:46goal0-126.8%
689300:00period-start0-061.0%