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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Dec 09, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens

Dec 09, 2025
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob 64.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 4
Biggest swing 55.7 pp
Home time led 3.7%
Away time led 96.3%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
255117:12goal0-39.7%
138106:03goal0-221.7%
82102:27goal0-145.7%
52100:00period-start0-057.2%
762219:06goal1-41.3%
459202:43goal0-43.7%
436200:00period-start0-37.0%
522320:00game-end1-60.5%
899308:41goal1-61.1%
791301:22goal1-51.2%
778300:00period-start1-41.5%