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Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders Win Probability Chart (Dec 13, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders

Dec 13, 2025
New York Islanders pregame win prob 58.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 43
Biggest swing 62.1 pp
Home time led 51.1%
Away time led 48.9%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
203110:16goal2-085.9%
95103:05goal1-066.6%
9100:00period-start0-058.4%
751210:13goal2-154.1%
495200:00period-start2-084.9%
893303:20goal2-219.4%
846300:00period-start2-180.3%
1182400:00period-start2-215.9%
753500:00goal2-232.9%
754500:00goal2-232.9%
757500:00goal2-234.2%
951500:00period-start2-234.2%
956500:00game-end2-234.2%