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2025-26 Season Live

Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Dec 16, 2025)

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Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 16, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 54.1%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 5
Biggest swing 26.3 pp
Home time led 18.6%
Away time led 81.4%
The Flood (2-straight)EDM

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-054.4%
320111:38goal0-130.9%
326111:52goal0-230.4%
425119:15goal1-221.8%
440200:00period-start1-237.5%
490204:35goal1-37.2%
565206:24goal2-314.9%
600209:36goal2-47.2%
742300:00period-start2-49.9%
825306:47goal2-51.9%
1046316:51goal3-54.2%
1068318:41goal3-60.9%
1084319:46goal4-62.8%
45320:00game-end4-63.0%