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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Dec 23, 2025)

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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

Dec 23, 2025
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 55.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 3
Biggest swing 31.8 pp
Home time led 73.1%
Away time led 26.9%
The Flood (5+ straight)NYR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.4%
299114:57goal0-140.8%
439200:00period-start0-138.0%
440200:23goal1-151.1%
543208:40goal2-175.3%
681211:14goal2-262.6%
692212:11goal3-276.2%
793300:00period-start3-283.9%
891308:10goal3-361.0%
905309:18goal3-429.2%
969313:43goal3-54.0%
1011317:44goal3-60.9%
1018318:09goal3-70.7%
605320:00game-end3-71.2%