Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Dec 28, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
43.9%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
40
Biggest swing
78.1 pp
Home time led
53.1%
Away time led
46.9%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.4% |
| 668 | 2 | 14:49 | goal | 3-0 | 91.5% |
| 628 | 2 | 12:11 | goal | 2-0 | 78.4% |
| 506 | 2 | 02:28 | goal | 1-0 | 42.4% |
| 39 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.4% |
| 1040 | 3 | 19:56 | goal | 4-4 | 46.5% |
| 943 | 3 | 12:17 | goal | 4-3 | 74.9% |
| 901 | 3 | 09:16 | goal | 4-2 | 93.4% |
| 812 | 3 | 01:40 | goal | 4-1 | 95.0% |
| 802 | 3 | 01:06 | goal | 3-1 | 76.5% |
| 790 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-0 | 95.5% |
| 1049 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-4 | 27.2% |
| 435 | 5 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-4 | 39.1% |
| 440 | 5 | 00:00 | game-end | 4-4 | 39.1% |
| 1201 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 4-4 | 41.0% |
| 1203 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 4-4 | 55.8% |