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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Dec 31, 2025)

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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

Dec 31, 2025
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 54.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 10
Biggest swing 44.5 pp
Home time led 93.8%
Away time led 6.2%
The Flood (2-straight)WSH

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
426119:20goal1-155.2%
268112:27goal1-067.2%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
762215:17goal3-276.2%
693211:12goal3-188.5%
639207:33goal2-173.7%
444200:00period-start1-155.5%
524320:00game-end6-399.0%
1091319:11goal6-398.8%
1080318:16goal5-397.7%
1058316:37goal5-298.7%
1019313:34goal4-296.8%
828300:00period-start3-283.3%