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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks Win Probability Chart (Jan 03, 2026)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks

Jan 03, 2026
San Jose Sharks pregame win prob 53.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 1
Biggest swing 16.5 pp
Home time led 4.4%
Away time led 95.6%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
77102:37goal0-138.1%
98104:08goal0-224.4%
180106:46goal0-34.1%
282110:50goal1-321.5%
459200:00period-start1-321.6%
483202:49goal1-44.1%
497203:55goal1-58.1%
203209:50goal2-53.3%
671214:08goal2-61.7%
725216:53goal2-71.6%
780300:00period-start2-71.4%
977316:11goal3-70.9%
521320:00game-end3-70.6%