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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders Win Probability Chart (Jan 03, 2026)

In-Game Dashboard

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders

Jan 03, 2026
New York Islanders pregame win prob 52.1%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 39
Biggest swing 66.3 pp
Home time led 38.2%
Away time led 61.8%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.4%
751217:19goal1-220.7%
616209:30goal1-142.0%
455201:10goal1-062.4%
438200:00period-start0-055.4%
1060317:15goal3-332.9%
996312:12goal2-322.8%
983311:10goal2-240.3%
810300:00period-start1-230.2%
524404:11game-end4-392.2%
1136404:11goal4-3100.0%
1108400:00period-start3-336.7%