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Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers Win Probability Chart (Jan 10, 2026)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers

Jan 10, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers pregame win prob 47.0%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 8
Biggest swing 46.7 pp
Home time led 4.3%
Away time led 95.7%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
180106:05goal1-243.2%
154104:15goal1-154.4%
72101:49goal0-137.0%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
686213:37goal1-314.8%
418200:00period-start1-243.5%
455320:00game-end2-70.4%
909311:00goal2-71.0%
882309:00goal2-61.3%
832304:45goal2-51.3%
811303:37goal1-51.1%
507302:03goal1-41.4%
766300:00period-start1-39.9%