Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers Win Probability Chart (Jan 12, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers pregame win prob
45.9%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
1
Biggest swing
19.8 pp
Home time led
1.8%
Away time led
98.2%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.4% |
| 101 | 1 | 01:10 | goal | 0-1 | 41.8% |
| 461 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-1 | 38.0% |
| 462 | 2 | 00:33 | goal | 0-2 | 18.1% |
| 515 | 2 | 04:29 | goal | 0-3 | 5.0% |
| 540 | 2 | 05:40 | goal | 1-3 | 12.1% |
| 764 | 2 | 19:29 | goal | 1-4 | 1.8% |
| 787 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-4 | 1.8% |
| 1013 | 3 | 16:39 | goal | 1-5 | 0.9% |
| 578 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 1-5 | 0.6% |