Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Jan 13, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob
55.4%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
32
Biggest swing
30.7 pp
Home time led
76.1%
Away time led
23.9%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 60.7% |
| 447 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 58.1% |
| 748 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 60.5% |
| 461 | 3 | 14:13 | goal | 0-1 | 18.5% |
| 1123 | 3 | 17:44 | goal | 1-1 | 37.9% |
| 1156 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 38.6% |
| 49 | 5 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 55.9% |
| 801 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 1-1 | 60.5% |
| 804 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 1-1 | 60.5% |
| 805 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 1-1 | 60.5% |
| 811 | 5 | 00:00 | game-end | 1-1 | 60.5% |