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2025-26 Season Live

Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Jan 17, 2026)

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Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

Jan 17, 2026
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 57.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 19
Biggest swing 73.9 pp
Home time led 53.7%
Away time led 46.3%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
513117:50goal0-223.4%
87103:06goal0-137.3%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
306218:24goal4-379.9%
758215:31goal3-369.6%
609204:26goal2-353.1%
595203:07goal2-269.7%
553200:42goal1-248.5%
548200:00period-start0-224.2%
1074316:41goal5-569.6%
1060315:36goal5-493.7%
940307:55goal5-396.5%
827300:00period-start4-385.2%
482400:33game-end5-614.8%
1138400:33goal5-60.0%
1134400:00period-start5-582.9%