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2025-26 Season Live

Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Jan 27, 2026)

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Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 27, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 48.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 15
Biggest swing 22.8 pp
Home time led 38.2%
Away time led 61.8%
The Flood (3-straight)BUF

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
206107:44goal1-067.0%
152109:29goal1-155.1%
305110:49goal2-164.9%
153113:16goal2-255.9%
402118:05goal2-341.1%
433200:00period-start2-339.6%
720211:17goal3-354.3%
815218:17goal3-430.4%
842300:00period-start3-430.8%
845300:16goal3-58.1%
1001311:33goal3-60.8%
1048314:59goal4-64.3%
1096319:16goal4-70.8%
513320:00game-end4-70.7%