Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Feb 25, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
57.2%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
14
Biggest swing
41.7 pp
Home time led
92.4%
Away time led
7.6%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.4% |
| 699 | 2 | 07:58 | goal | 2-0 | 81.8% |
| 690 | 2 | 07:07 | goal | 1-0 | 65.8% |
| 431 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 4-2 | 98.4% |
| 499 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 56.7% |
| 1089 | 3 | 17:13 | goal | 4-2 | 98.3% |
| 1082 | 3 | 16:30 | goal | 4-1 | 98.8% |
| 1074 | 3 | 16:19 | goal | 3-1 | 97.7% |
| 893 | 3 | 02:59 | goal | 3-0 | 96.8% |
| 862 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-0 | 92.3% |