Washington Capitals at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Feb 28, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Washington Capitals at Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob
64.4%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
10
Biggest swing
23.8 pp
Home time led
97.2%
Away time led
2.8%
The Flood (2-straight)MTL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 56.6% |
| 56 | 1 | 00:30 | goal | 1-0 | 67.0% |
| 283 | 1 | 13:16 | goal | 1-1 | 54.2% |
| 107 | 1 | 14:19 | goal | 2-1 | 76.2% |
| 436 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 70.9% |
| 642 | 2 | 12:22 | goal | 3-1 | 85.6% |
| 691 | 2 | 16:34 | goal | 4-1 | 96.0% |
| 750 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-1 | 96.3% |
| 904 | 3 | 12:12 | goal | 4-2 | 94.6% |
| 973 | 3 | 16:44 | goal | 5-2 | 98.6% |
| 995 | 3 | 18:35 | goal | 6-2 | 99.4% |
| 368 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 6-2 | 99.6% |