Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Mar 02, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
51.4%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
52
Biggest swing
30.3 pp
Home time led
13.5%
Away time led
86.5%
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 387 | 1 | 18:38 | goal | 1-1 | 38.1% |
| 335 | 1 | 15:22 | goal | 1-0 | 52.1% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.2% |
| 460 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 55.4% |
| 1017 | 3 | 17:30 | goal | 2-2 | 42.9% |
| 978 | 3 | 14:42 | goal | 1-2 | 12.7% |
| 774 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 54.6% |
| 1062 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 37.9% |
| 423 | 5 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 54.6% |
| 431 | 5 | 00:00 | game-end | 2-2 | 54.6% |
| 502 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 2-2 | 54.6% |
| 503 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 2-2 | 54.6% |
| 1152 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 2-2 | 54.6% |