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2025-26 Season Live

Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Mar 04, 2026)

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Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings

Mar 04, 2026
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob 48.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 15
Biggest swing 77.3 pp
Home time led 85.5%
Away time led 14.5%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
418116:14goal3-184.5%
402115:15goal2-169.5%
185105:58goal1-155.6%
122101:50goal0-135.9%
104100:00period-start0-055.2%
478200:00period-start3-184.7%
1110316:36goal3-344.3%
1046311:37goal3-285.5%
863300:00period-start3-190.4%
519402:11game-end3-413.4%
1189402:11goal3-40.0%
1164400:00period-start3-345.4%