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Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers Win Probability Chart (Mar 05, 2026)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers

Mar 05, 2026
New York Rangers pregame win prob 59.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 26
Biggest swing 46.0 pp
Home time led 79.0%
Away time led 21.0%
The Flood (5+ straight)NYR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
148106:45goal1-154.4%
55100:13goal0-137.3%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
533207:29goal2-257.2%
502205:27goal1-239.7%
393200:00period-start1-155.8%
465320:00game-end6-299.6%
966317:09goal6-299.5%
892311:19goal5-298.1%
879310:27goal4-295.5%
816305:38goal3-278.5%
691300:00period-start2-254.8%