Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres Win Probability Chart (Mar 08, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo Sabres pregame win prob
60.3%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
7
Biggest swing
59.8 pp
Home time led
66.8%
Away time led
33.2%
The Flood (5+ straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198 | 1 | 08:26 | goal | 1-0 | 64.9% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.4% |
| 900 | 2 | 17:37 | goal | 4-4 | 28.4% |
| 862 | 2 | 14:46 | goal | 4-3 | 61.8% |
| 802 | 2 | 12:26 | goal | 4-2 | 86.7% |
| 779 | 2 | 11:07 | goal | 4-1 | 94.8% |
| 724 | 2 | 07:55 | goal | 3-1 | 83.0% |
| 692 | 2 | 05:10 | goal | 3-0 | 91.0% |
| 662 | 2 | 02:15 | goal | 2-0 | 83.9% |
| 476 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 8-7 | 92.8% |
| 616 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-0 | 70.9% |
| 1239 | 3 | 15:43 | goal | 8-7 | 83.1% |
| 1221 | 3 | 14:29 | goal | 7-7 | 27.5% |
| 1168 | 3 | 11:03 | goal | 6-7 | 10.0% |
| 1100 | 3 | 09:48 | goal | 5-7 | 4.5% |
| 1044 | 3 | 06:12 | goal | 5-6 | 11.1% |
| 803 | 3 | 05:46 | goal | 4-6 | 8.5% |
| 967 | 3 | 00:59 | goal | 4-5 | 18.6% |
| 957 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-4 | 48.5% |