Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres Win Probability Chart (Mar 08, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo Sabres pregame win prob
54.8%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
2
Biggest swing
40.2 pp
Home time led
76.6%
Away time led
23.4%
The Flood (5+ straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 54.8% |
| 198 | 1 | 08:26 | goal | 1-0 | 68.5% |
| 616 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-0 | 69.9% |
| 662 | 2 | 02:15 | goal | 2-0 | 84.8% |
| 692 | 2 | 05:10 | goal | 3-0 | 93.3% |
| 724 | 2 | 07:55 | goal | 3-1 | 85.1% |
| 779 | 2 | 11:07 | goal | 4-1 | 94.0% |
| 802 | 2 | 12:26 | goal | 4-2 | 85.6% |
| 862 | 2 | 14:46 | goal | 4-3 | 75.6% |
| 900 | 2 | 17:37 | goal | 4-4 | 53.5% |
| 957 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 4-4 | 52.8% |
| 967 | 3 | 00:59 | goal | 4-5 | 24.0% |
| 803 | 3 | 05:46 | goal | 4-6 | 5.0% |
| 1044 | 3 | 06:12 | goal | 5-6 | 15.0% |
| 1100 | 3 | 09:48 | goal | 5-7 | 3.3% |
| 1168 | 3 | 11:03 | goal | 6-7 | 12.1% |
| 1221 | 3 | 14:29 | goal | 7-7 | 49.3% |
| 1239 | 3 | 15:43 | goal | 8-7 | 87.8% |
| 476 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 8-7 | 100.0% |