Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Mar 10, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob
61.3%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
0
Biggest swing
26.8 pp
Home time led
100.0%
Away time led
0.0%
The Flood (2-straight)MTL
The Grip (entering P3)MTL — xG +2.1
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 | 1 | 14:41 | goal | 2-0 | 90.2% |
| 117 | 1 | 04:46 | goal | 1-0 | 69.2% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 57.2% |
| 684 | 2 | 14:33 | goal | 2-1 | 78.5% |
| 448 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-0 | 89.8% |
| 535 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 3-1 | 97.9% |
| 162 | 3 | 19:32 | goal | 3-1 | 98.2% |
| 751 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 86.0% |