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Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Mar 11, 2026)

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Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

Mar 11, 2026
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 63.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 12
Biggest swing 69.0 pp
Home time led 63.2%
Away time led 36.8%
The Flood (2-straight)OTT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
337118:41goal2-175.0%
297116:42goal1-163.4%
71101:16goal0-145.7%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
829217:29goal2-251.5%
373200:00period-start2-177.4%
418320:00game-end2-310.9%
1059312:40goal2-326.4%
883300:00period-start2-254.8%