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2025-26 Season Live

Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers Win Probability Chart (Mar 11, 2026)

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Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

Mar 11, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers pregame win prob 56.6%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 7
Biggest swing 61.3 pp
Home time led 74.8%
Away time led 25.2%
The Flood (4+ straight)PHI

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
196109:51goal0-139.5%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
688212:13goal2-170.1%
587204:23goal1-156.7%
473320:00game-end4-199.0%
542200:00period-start0-137.7%
1071318:57goal4-198.8%
913307:17goal3-195.2%
801300:00period-start2-179.6%