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Pittsburgh Penguins at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Mar 12, 2026)

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Pittsburgh Penguins at Vegas Golden Knights

Mar 12, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob 43.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 1
Biggest swing 19.1 pp
Home time led 85.5%
Away time led 14.5%
The Flood (3-straight)VGK

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-043.5%
222108:41goal1-067.1%
380200:00period-start1-071.3%
546205:02goal2-083.4%
581208:26goal2-172.4%
590209:20goal3-183.6%
730216:22goal3-275.6%
829300:00period-start3-278.2%
884304:35goal4-293.9%
911306:20goal5-298.0%
1079319:01goal6-299.8%
424320:00game-end6-2100.0%