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Pittsburgh Penguins at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Mar 12, 2026)

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Pittsburgh Penguins at Vegas Golden Knights

Mar 12, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob 45.6%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 28.0 pp
Home time led 100.0%
Away time led 0.0%
The Flood (3-straight)VGK

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
222108:41goal1-065.6%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
730216:22goal3-278.4%
590209:20goal3-188.3%
581208:26goal2-174.3%
546205:02goal2-089.5%
380200:00period-start1-071.7%
424320:00game-end6-299.7%
1079319:01goal6-299.5%
911306:20goal5-297.7%
884304:35goal4-294.7%
829300:00period-start3-280.2%