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2026-27 Season Live

San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Mar 15, 2026)

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San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators

Mar 15, 2026
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 76.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 24.2 pp
Home time led 100.0%
Away time led 0.0%
The Flood (5+ straight)OTT
The Grip (entering P3)OTT — xG +2.0

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
53100:00period-start0-076.9%
91104:05goal0-162.2%
169107:33goal1-174.9%
250114:43goal1-257.7%
464200:00period-start1-257.5%
562204:31goal2-274.8%
308210:46goal2-350.5%
679213:40goal3-374.4%
693214:45goal4-387.1%
783300:00period-start4-388.9%
313303:28goal4-474.3%
1027313:08goal5-491.8%
1048314:50goal6-498.1%
1082317:43goal7-499.3%
913320:00game-end7-4100.0%