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2025-26 Season Live

San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Mar 15, 2026)

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San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators

Mar 15, 2026
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 55.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 17
Biggest swing 48.3 pp
Home time led 85.3%
Away time led 14.7%
The Flood (5+ straight)OTT
The Grip (entering P3)OTT — xG +2.0

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
250114:43goal1-252.5%
169107:33goal1-166.6%
91104:05goal0-137.9%
53100:00period-start0-055.8%
693214:45goal4-383.5%
679213:40goal3-371.4%
308210:46goal2-347.8%
562204:31goal2-269.1%
464200:00period-start1-250.7%
913320:00game-end7-499.1%
1082317:43goal7-498.9%
1048314:50goal6-497.6%
1027313:08goal5-489.4%
313303:28goal4-469.3%
783300:00period-start4-385.2%