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2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Mar 17, 2026)

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New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 17, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 47.1%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 3
Biggest swing 25.2 pp
Home time led 7.1%
Away time led 92.9%
The Flood (2-straight)NYI

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
114104:15goal0-138.3%
194109:43goal0-221.5%
448200:00period-start0-221.8%
605204:40goal1-224.1%
673211:57goal1-310.2%
803300:00period-start1-39.6%
762320:00game-end1-32.9%