Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Mar 20, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
41.4%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
2
Biggest swing
36.6 pp
Home time led
21.8%
Away time led
78.2%
The Flood (2-straight)CAR
The Grip (entering P3)CAR — xG +1.7
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 41.4% |
| 318 | 1 | 11:48 | goal | 1-0 | 66.7% |
| 439 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-0 | 68.0% |
| 557 | 2 | 05:57 | goal | 1-1 | 41.6% |
| 153 | 2 | 12:35 | goal | 1-2 | 21.0% |
| 710 | 2 | 13:47 | goal | 2-2 | 39.4% |
| 759 | 2 | 17:40 | goal | 2-3 | 13.5% |
| 796 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-3 | 13.1% |
| 1040 | 3 | 13:50 | goal | 3-3 | 40.6% |
| 1129 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 40.6% |
| 1133 | 4 | 00:41 | goal | 3-4 | 4.0% |
| 480 | 4 | 00:41 | game-end | 3-4 | 0.0% |