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2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Mar 21, 2026)

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New York Islanders at Montreal Canadiens

Mar 21, 2026
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob 51.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 17
Biggest swing 65.3 pp
Home time led 64.1%
Away time led 35.9%
The Flood (3-straight)MTL
The Grip (entering P3)MTL — xG +1.9

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
350113:19goal1-260.0%
200106:46goal1-168.7%
54104:10goal1-069.2%
52100:00period-start0-056.9%
792219:08goal3-280.8%
772217:49goal2-265.7%
449200:00period-start1-238.7%
483320:00game-end7-399.6%
1035314:59goal7-399.5%
62311:20goal6-398.2%
926308:08goal5-396.2%
857303:17goal4-380.2%
811300:45goal3-364.9%
810300:00period-start3-284.7%