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2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Mar 21, 2026)

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New York Islanders at Montreal Canadiens

Mar 21, 2026
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob 54.0%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 25
Biggest swing 56.5 pp
Home time led 66.7%
Away time led 33.3%
The Flood (3-straight)MTL
The Grip (entering P3)MTL — xG +1.9

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
350113:19goal1-258.0%
200106:46goal1-164.9%
54104:10goal1-071.2%
52100:00period-start0-057.3%
792219:08goal3-283.9%
772217:49goal2-274.2%
449200:00period-start1-243.0%
483320:00game-end7-399.6%
1035314:59goal7-399.6%
62311:20goal6-398.1%
926308:08goal5-396.6%
857303:17goal4-384.5%
811300:45goal3-370.0%
810300:00period-start3-286.5%