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2026-27 Season Live

New York Islanders at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Mar 21, 2026)

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New York Islanders at Montreal Canadiens

Mar 21, 2026
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob 50.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 27.5 pp
Home time led 59.2%
Away time led 40.8%
The Flood (3-straight)MTL
The Grip (entering P3)MTL — xG +1.9

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-050.8%
54104:10goal1-068.9%
200106:46goal1-154.1%
350113:19goal1-234.3%
449200:00period-start1-233.8%
772217:49goal2-253.5%
792219:08goal3-278.2%
810300:00period-start3-278.2%
811300:45goal3-353.5%
857303:17goal4-381.1%
926308:08goal5-395.7%
62311:20goal6-398.6%
1035314:59goal7-399.8%
483320:00game-end7-3100.0%