Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Mar 21, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob
68.8%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
0
Biggest swing
36.5 pp
Home time led
100.0%
Away time led
0.0%
The Flood (2-straight)OTT
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 | 1 | 14:58 | goal | 1-0 | 71.2% |
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.4% |
| 845 | 2 | 18:14 | goal | 3-1 | 91.9% |
| 840 | 2 | 17:53 | goal | 3-0 | 97.1% |
| 202 | 2 | 09:09 | goal | 2-0 | 86.6% |
| 376 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 5-2 | 99.1% |
| 509 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-0 | 77.3% |
| 207 | 3 | 13:11 | goal | 5-2 | 98.6% |
| 1004 | 3 | 09:41 | goal | 4-2 | 96.5% |
| 702 | 3 | 04:52 | goal | 3-2 | 84.7% |
| 877 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-1 | 92.0% |