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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Mar 21, 2026)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators

Mar 21, 2026
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 68.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 35.9 pp
Home time led 100.0%
Away time led 0.0%
The Flood (2-straight)OTT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
321114:58goal1-072.8%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
845218:14goal3-191.3%
840217:53goal3-096.9%
202209:09goal2-085.3%
376320:00game-end5-299.0%
509200:00period-start1-077.8%
207313:11goal5-298.5%
1004309:41goal4-296.2%
702304:52goal3-285.0%
877300:00period-start3-191.7%