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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers Win Probability Chart (Mar 21, 2026)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers

Mar 21, 2026
Edmonton Oilers pregame win prob 44.0%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 27
Biggest swing 70.5 pp
Home time led 41.9%
Away time led 58.1%
The Flood (2-straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
370119:37goal1-064.5%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
873216:58goal1-311.0%
812212:13goal1-234.0%
551201:37goal1-140.3%
386200:00period-start1-069.9%
467320:00game-end2-50.6%
1175319:28goal2-50.9%
1121315:32goal2-44.0%
552307:16goal2-325.9%
915300:00period-start1-310.6%