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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames Win Probability Chart (Mar 22, 2026)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames

Mar 22, 2026
Calgary Flames pregame win prob 47.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 10
Biggest swing 54.9 pp
Home time led 81.1%
Away time led 18.9%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
335116:52goal2-166.7%
330116:25goal1-154.2%
146107:25goal0-136.9%
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
638211:47goal3-267.0%
591208:28goal3-184.6%
384200:00period-start2-171.6%
1023315:40goal3-331.8%
806300:00period-start3-279.8%
428400:26game-end4-389.9%
1099400:26goal4-3100.0%
423400:00period-start3-356.7%