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2025-26 Season Live

Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Mar 24, 2026)

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Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 52.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 12
Biggest swing 36.4 pp
Home time led 44.5%
Away time led 55.5%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-055.8%
201102:28goal0-137.0%
581118:49goal0-221.5%
660200:00period-start0-222.9%
736205:45goal1-236.9%
793209:51goal1-316.3%
823212:27goal2-335.6%
861215:19goal3-371.1%
916300:00period-start3-363.5%
1196317:07goal4-392.3%
1229318:42goal5-399.0%
202319:36goal6-398.7%
287320:00game-end6-399.0%