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2026-27 Season Live

Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Mar 24, 2026)

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Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning

Mar 24, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 46.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 1
Biggest swing 44.0 pp
Home time led 4.8%
Away time led 95.2%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
54100:00period-start0-046.2%
201102:28goal0-133.4%
581118:49goal0-217.7%
660200:00period-start0-217.7%
736205:45goal1-232.4%
793209:51goal1-313.1%
823212:27goal2-330.5%
861215:19goal3-348.9%
916300:00period-start3-348.8%
1196317:07goal4-391.2%
1229318:42goal5-398.2%
202319:36goal6-399.4%
287320:00game-end6-3100.0%