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2026-27 Season Live

Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators Win Probability Chart (Mar 26, 2026)

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Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators

Mar 26, 2026
Ottawa Senators pregame win prob 61.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 31.0 pp
Home time led 97.2%
Away time led 2.8%
The Flood (2-straight)PIT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-061.8%
123104:28goal1-071.7%
300113:46goal1-161.0%
508200:00period-start1-161.6%
452201:50goal2-172.8%
553203:45goal2-261.6%
888300:00period-start2-255.1%
911301:43goal2-323.0%
947303:58goal3-354.0%
1219400:00period-start3-355.3%
623500:00period-start3-356.7%
624500:00goal3-358.3%
627500:00goal3-358.3%
629500:00goal3-358.3%
635500:00game-end3-358.3%