Washington Capitals at Utah Mammoth Win Probability Chart (Mar 26, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Washington Capitals at Utah Mammoth
Utah Mammoth pregame win prob
53.7%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
3
Biggest swing
27.8 pp
Home time led
52.9%
Away time led
47.1%
The Flood (3-straight)WSH
The Grip (entering P3)UTA — xG +2.1
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 53.7% |
| 92 | 1 | 02:07 | goal | 0-1 | 35.8% |
| 352 | 1 | 13:04 | goal | 1-1 | 54.2% |
| 414 | 1 | 16:59 | goal | 2-1 | 69.8% |
| 252 | 1 | 19:53 | goal | 3-1 | 84.8% |
| 535 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-1 | 84.8% |
| 641 | 2 | 05:01 | goal | 3-2 | 72.4% |
| 719 | 2 | 11:28 | goal | 3-3 | 55.1% |
| 813 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 54.7% |
| 903 | 3 | 02:43 | goal | 3-4 | 26.9% |
| 955 | 3 | 06:02 | goal | 3-5 | 8.2% |
| 997 | 3 | 08:06 | goal | 4-5 | 22.2% |
| 1027 | 3 | 09:54 | goal | 4-6 | 5.9% |
| 1230 | 3 | 19:54 | goal | 4-7 | 0.4% |
| 589 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 4-7 | 0.0% |