Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Mar 28, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
46.4%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
1
Biggest swing
37.2 pp
Home time led
18.6%
Away time led
81.4%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 46.4% |
| 55 | 1 | 00:18 | goal | 0-1 | 33.2% |
| 118 | 1 | 04:25 | goal | 0-2 | 23.0% |
| 512 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-2 | 14.8% |
| 551 | 2 | 03:37 | goal | 1-2 | 31.6% |
| 572 | 2 | 05:14 | goal | 2-2 | 47.7% |
| 839 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 48.8% |
| 949 | 3 | 08:51 | goal | 3-2 | 84.0% |
| 1081 | 3 | 17:48 | goal | 4-2 | 98.1% |
| 474 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 4-2 | 100.0% |