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2026-27 Season Live

Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Mar 28, 2026)

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Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights

Mar 28, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob 67.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 24.0 pp
Home time led 66.0%
Away time led 34.0%
The Flood (3-straight)WSH

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-067.4%
183106:06goal0-146.6%
439200:00period-start0-145.5%
466201:55goal0-221.0%
629206:49goal0-36.5%
683210:38goal1-317.0%
260211:03goal2-341.0%
717213:18goal3-364.1%
824300:00period-start3-363.9%
825300:31goal4-385.0%
950308:54goal4-463.4%
1112400:00period-start4-465.2%
527500:00period-start4-465.1%
105500:00goal4-465.1%
532500:00game-end4-465.1%