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New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Win Probability Chart (Apr 04, 2026)

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New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes

Apr 04, 2026
Carolina Hurricanes pregame win prob 68.6%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 8
Biggest swing 31.1 pp
Home time led 76.1%
Away time led 23.9%
The Flood (3-straight)CAR
The Grip (entering P3)CAR — xG +2.8

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
308111:07goal1-170.8%
180105:17goal0-160.4%
52100:00period-start0-055.2%
707216:17goal3-281.6%
650211:15goal2-259.2%
547202:15goal1-241.5%
469320:00game-end4-394.3%
524200:00period-start1-169.2%
995318:23goal4-394.6%
763300:24goal4-294.6%
762300:00period-start3-288.7%