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2025-26 Season Live

Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Apr 11, 2026)

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Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins

Apr 11, 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 53.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 11
Biggest swing 32.9 pp
Home time led 41.2%
Away time led 58.8%
The Flood (2-straight)WSH

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-057.2%
429200:00period-start0-056.8%
444201:39goal0-144.0%
453202:05goal1-156.8%
492206:02goal1-236.8%
603208:08goal1-327.8%
577211:47goal2-329.3%
584211:58goal2-414.4%
683216:50goal3-417.3%
781300:00period-start3-430.4%
605305:56goal3-54.9%
1032316:22goal3-61.3%
34320:00game-end3-60.5%