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New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Apr 15, 2026)

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New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 15, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 51.4%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 4
Biggest swing 53.8 pp
Home time led 6.8%
Away time led 93.2%
The Flood (3-straight)NYR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
104104:02goal0-145.0%
52100:00period-start0-055.4%
645212:46goal1-42.6%
611211:15goal1-315.1%
531204:49goal0-33.9%
338201:29goal0-221.4%
329200:00period-start0-138.7%
367320:00game-end2-43.1%
887300:51goal2-47.9%
878300:00period-start1-41.8%